logo

Nearly Half of Voters Don’t Want Their State to Follow California’s Lead on Banning New Sales of Gas-Powered Cars

The Golden State’s new rule, set to take full effect by 2035, is more popular than not among urban voters, and much less so for rural voters when thinking about their own states
August 31, 2022 at 6:00 am UTC

California environmental regulators last weekvotedtoban the sale of any new gasoline-powered vehicles by 2035, a proposal that almost half of U.S. voters say they would oppose in their own states, according to a new Morning Consult/Politicosurvey.

1 in 3 Voters Would Support Ban on Sales of New Gas-Powered Vehicles in Their State by 2035

Democrats, urban voters were more likely to support ban similar to one recently adopted in California
Respondents were asked if they would support or oppose a ban on the sale of new fossil fuel-powered cars in their state by 2035
Politico Logo
Survey conducted Aug. 26-28, 2022, among a representative sample of 2,007 registered voters, with an unweighted margin of error of +/- 2 percentage points.

Republicans are especially opposed to ban on sales of new fossil fuel-powered cars by 2035

  • About 7 in 10 GOP voters said they would oppose a plan like California’s in their own state, while almost 3 in 5 rural voters said the same. Meanwhile, half of Democrats backed the proposal, as did a slightly smaller share of urban voters. Suburban voters’ feelings on the matter were similar to voters overall, with about 1 in 3 supporting the ban.
  • Around 1 in 2 voters in the Northeast, Midwest and the South would be against a ban in their own states. Voters out West were split on such a proposal, with 42% in support of and 42% against the ban.
  • Climate-concerned voters were 11 percentage points more likely than voters overall to back the proposal (44%). Only 6% of voters who are not concerned with the climate said they would support the measure.

More states to follow California’s lead as state has far-reaching impact on emissions rules across the nation

加州空气资源委员会,sta之一te’s environmental regulators,unanimously votedto adopt the Advanced Clean Cars II rule last week,two years afterGov. Gavin Newsom (D) announced it via an executive order. The move willput pressure on automakers to speed up electric vehicle production.

The phaseout will allow people to continue driving gasoline-powered cars and purchase them on the used market after the 2035 deadline. However, automakers must hit their production targets requiring 35% of new vehicle sales in California to be powered by batteries or hydrogen by 2026. That target moves up to 68% by 2030.Failure to complywill cost automakers a $20,000 fine for each new vehicle sold in violation. The ruledoes not forcecar shoppers to purchase EVs.

Automakers will still be allowed to sell up to 20% of plug-in hybrids by 2035, cars whose engines are both gasoline- and electric-powered.

The ban’s implementation will potentially face legal challenges as well as some othercritical roadblocks, including the fact that electric vehicles are still expensive for most buyers.

Moreover, the critical minerals market, which is needed to build batteries, is dominated by China, and the overall infrastructure for EVs, such as chargers, is still limited in the United States. The speed of implementationcould push down prices for EVs, or it could cause bottlenecks and higher prices.

Neighboring states likeOregonandWashingtonare already considering their own phaseouts, while New Jersey, New York, Massachusetts and others likeVirginiacouldcopy the rule.

The latest Morning Consult/Politicosurveywas conducted Aug. 26-28, 2022, among a representative sample of 2,007 registered voters, with an unweighted margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

A headshot photograph of Julia Martinez
Julia Martinez
Energy & Auto Analyst

Julia Martinez is an energy & auto analyst on the Industry Intelligence team, where she conducts research, authors analyst notes and advises leaders in the energy and auto industries on how to apply insights to make better business decisions. Before joining Morning Consult, Julia priced carbon offset credits, covered emerging cap-and-trade markets on the West Coast and reported on the oil and gas industry for trade publications in Houston, where she currently resides. She earned bachelor’s degrees in economics and digital journalism from Central Washington University.For speaking opportunities and booking requests, please email[email protected].

We want to hear from you.Reach out to this author or your Morning Consult team with any questions or comments. Contact Us